CF America vs CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CF America conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 2 of 6 · CF Pachuca: only games against sides at CF America's level · CF America: only games against sides at CF Pachuca's level
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 14. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 02:05 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. CF America are 1st on 27 points after 12 games, 1 point clear of Guadalajara Chivas. CF Pachuca are 16th on 13 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Atlante FC, 3 points clear of Necaxa. A win would take them above Atlante FC.
Form. CF America have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. In this competition CF America have gone W W D W D L. CF Pachuca have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. In this competition CF Pachuca have gone L L D L D W.
The numbers. CF America score three and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. CF America average 18.2 shots (7.9 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. CF Pachuca score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. CF Pachuca average 16.9 shots (5.5 on target), 5.5 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CF America have won three, drawn five and lost two. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CF America won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 19 Jan 2026, it finished CF America 0-0 CF Pachuca: CF America had 10 shots to 7, 63% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. CF America to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CF America the likelier winners; CF America are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF America. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: CF America or Draw at 1.18, 76% on the records (CF America unbeaten in 9 of 10; CF Pachuca failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: Over 3.5 Cards at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CF America or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (CF America are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CF America 1-0 CF Pachuca (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).