Atlas FC vs Club Puebla
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 14. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara.
What's at stake. Atlas FC are 6th on 21 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Leon, 1 point clear of Monterrey. A win would take them above Leon. Club Puebla are 13th on 16 points after 13 games, 1 point behind U.N.A.M. - Pumas, 1 point clear of Tigres UANL. A win would take them above U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Form. Atlas FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W D. In this competition Atlas FC have gone L W D W D L. Club Puebla have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L D. In this competition Club Puebla have gone L D D L D L.
The numbers. Atlas FC score 1.3 and concede two a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Atlas FC average 15.8 shots (4.0 on target), 7.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Club Puebla score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Club Puebla average 13.5 shots (3.8 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Atlas FC have won five, drawn three and lost one. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Atlas FC won four. The last time they met, on 10 Jan 2026, it finished Atlas FC 1-0 Club Puebla: Atlas FC had 8 shots to 15, 41% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Club Puebla's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. Atlas FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Atlas FC the likelier winners; Atlas FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Atlas FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Atlas FC or Draw at 1.18, 80% on the records (Atlas FC unbeaten in 4 of 6 at home; Club Puebla failed to win 3 of 5 away). Backup: Atlas FC or Both Teams Score at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Club Puebla Over 0.5 goals (Club Puebla's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Atlas FC 2-1 Club Puebla (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).