Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 16. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 00:10 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
What's at stake. Atletico Nacional are 1st on 29 points after 14 games, level on points with Deportivo Cali. Independiente Medellin are 7th on 23 points after 14 games, 2 points behind Santa Fe, 2 points clear of Cucuta. A win would take them above Santa Fe.
Form. Atletico Nacional have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. In this competition Atletico Nacional have gone W L W D W D. Independiente Medellin have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. In this competition Independiente Medellin have gone L W L D L W.
The numbers. Atletico Nacional score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Atletico Nacional average 16.8 shots (5.9 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 66% of the ball. Independiente Medellin score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Independiente Medellin average 14.2 shots (5.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Atletico Nacional have won five, drawn five and lost none. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Atletico Nacional won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 15 Oct 2026, it finished Atletico Nacional 3-2 Independiente Medellin.
The read. Atletico Nacional to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Atletico Nacional the likelier winners; Atletico Nacional are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico Nacional; the meetings favour Atletico Nacional. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Atletico Nacional or Draw at 1.22, 78% on the records (Atletico Nacional unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Independiente Medellin failed to win 3 of 5 away). Backup: Atletico Nacional Over 0.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Atletico Nacional or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Independiente Medellin Under 1.5 goals (Independiente Medellin's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Independiente Medellin Over 0.5 goals (Atletico Nacional's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Atletico Nacional 2-1 Independiente Medellin (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Atletico Nacional or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.16
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · IND 6 of 6 (100%)94.4%
Atletico Nacional scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 at home · Independiente Medellin trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 away
Atletico Nacional or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · IND 5 of 5 (100%)86.2%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Independiente Medellin: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Double Chance: Atletico Nacional or DrawMAININ CODES
1.22
ATL 5 of 5 (100%) · IND 3 of 5 (60%)81.1%
Atletico Nacional unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Independiente Medellin failed to win 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Atletico Nacional or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.29
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · IND 5 of 5 (100%)79.6%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Independiente Medellin: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Atletico Nacional or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.15
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · IND 4 of 5 (80%)79.6%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Independiente Medellin: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Atletico Nacional (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.34
ATL 6 of 8 (75%) · IND 4 of 8 (50%)78.4%
Atletico Nacional won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Independiente Medellin lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 4 of 4 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level · won 5, refunded 3, lost 2
Atletico Nacional 1UPIN CODES
1.40
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · IND 4 of 6 (67%)70%
Atletico Nacional scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 6 at home · Independiente Medellin trailed in 5 of 6 away
Atletico Nacional to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.80
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · IND 2 of 5 (40%)65%
Atletico Nacional won 3 of 5 at home · Independiente Medellin lost 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 4 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
1X2 - 2UP: Atletico NacionalLEANPAGE ONLY
1.69
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · IND 4 of 6 (67%)64.4%
Atletico Nacional scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 6 at home · Independiente Medellin trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 6 away
Atletico Nacional or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · IND 3 of 5 (60%)60.9%
Atletico Nacional: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Independiente Medellin: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 3 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · IND 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
Atletico Nacional: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Independiente Medellin: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.24
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · IND 5 of 5 (100%)73%
Atletico Nacional: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Independiente Medellin: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.72
ATL 2 of 5 (40%) · IND 3 of 5 (60%)46.2%
Atletico Nacional: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Independiente Medellin: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
ATLETICO NACIONAL GOALS
Atletico Nacional Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.15
ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · IND 4 of 5 (80%)84.3%
Atletico Nacional scored in 4 of 5 at home · Independiente Medellin conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Atletico Nacional Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.64
ATL 3 of 5 (60%) · IND 3 of 5 (60%)51.1%
Atletico Nacional scored over 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Independiente Medellin conceded over 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 6 · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATL 5 of 8 (62%) · IND 8 of 8 (100%)81.3%
Atletico Nacional's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Medellin's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Atletico Nacional: only games against sides at Independiente Medellin's level · Independiente Medellin: only games against sides at Atletico Nacional's level
Left off the list: Atletico Nacional or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Independiente Medellin Under 1.5 goals (Independiente Medellin's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Independiente Medellin Over 0.5 goals (Atletico Nacional's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.7%
Atletico Nacional goals →
Independiente Medellin goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-010%
3-06%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
ATLETICO NACIONALWWWLDWDWLW2.00 PPG
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLINWWLDWLDLWL1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATLETICO NACIONAL HOMExINDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME1.400.90CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS0%28%FAILED TO SCORE18%6.00CORNERS A GAME5.002.50CARDS A GAME3.121.18xG1.090.63xG AGAINST0.92
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
ATLETICO NACIONAL OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.54+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.08+6.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.92.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.813LEAGUE GAMES13
Atletico Nacional: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
ATLETICO NACIONAL 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
83%
NO · 85/90
ATLETICO NACIONAL OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN OR DRAW
48%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ATLETICO NACIONALxINDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN
6GAMES61.83SCORED A GAME1.830.50CONCEDED A GAME1.502.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.383%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%50%BOTH SCORE67%5.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.67.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
ATLETICO NACIONAL 5 · 50%DRAW 5INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN 0 · 0%
7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2025-03-23Atletico Nacional 1 – 1 Independiente Medellin
2025-05-04Atletico Nacional 1 – 1 Independiente Medellin
2025-09-07Atletico Nacional 3 – 3 Independiente Medellin
2025-10-26Atletico Nacional 5 – 2 Independiente Medellin
2025-11-23Atletico Nacional 0 – 0 Independiente Medellin
2025-12-04Atletico Nacional 2 – 1 Independiente Medellin
2025-12-13Atletico Nacional 0 – 0 Independiente Medellin
2025-12-18Atletico Nacional 1 – 0 Independiente Medellin
TRENDS
Atletico Nacional have scored in 70% of their games.
Independiente Medellin have scored in 70% of their games.
Atletico Nacional kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Independiente Medellin kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards