Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Birmingham Legion FC
Birmingham Legion FC scored in 4 of 6 away · Pittsburgh Riverhounds conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Birmingham Legion FC: only games against sides at Pittsburgh Riverhounds's level · Pittsburgh Riverhounds: only games against sides at Birmingham Legion FC's level
Match details. USL Championship, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Highmark Stadium. The referee is M. Kaleia.
What's at stake. Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 6th on 42 points after 29 games, level on points with Rhode Island, 2 points clear of Hartford Athletic. A win would take them above Rhode Island. Birmingham Legion FC are 10th on 30 points after 29 games, 4 points behind Indy Eleven, 2 points clear of Loudoun United. Birmingham Legion FC have nothing left to play for, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds need the win.
Form. Pittsburgh Riverhounds have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. In this competition Pittsburgh Riverhounds have gone D W L L W D. Birmingham Legion FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. In this competition Birmingham Legion FC have gone W D W L W L.
The numbers. Pittsburgh Riverhounds score 1.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Birmingham Legion FC score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Pittsburgh Riverhounds have won four, drawn three and lost two. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Pittsburgh Riverhounds won one, two were drawn and Birmingham Legion FC won one. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-1 Birmingham Legion FC.
The case against. Birmingham Legion FC's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Pittsburgh Riverhounds the likelier winners; Pittsburgh Riverhounds are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Pittsburgh Riverhounds or Draw at 1.22, 80% on the records (Pittsburgh Riverhounds unbeaten in 7 of 10; Birmingham Legion FC failed to win 4 of 6 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Pittsburgh Riverhounds or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Birmingham Legion FC Under 1.5 goals (Birmingham Legion FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Pittsburgh Riverhounds or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 Birmingham Legion FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).