Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 16. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. The referee is J. A. Mayorga Londono.
What's at stake. Fortaleza FC are 18th on 11 points after 14 games, 2 points behind Deportivo Pereira, 1 point clear of Jaguares. A win would take them above Deportivo Pereira. Deportivo Cali are 2nd on 29 points after 15 games, level on points with Atletico Nacional, 1 point clear of America de Cali. A win would take them above Atletico Nacional.
Form. Fortaleza FC have won none, drawn six and lost four of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. In this competition Fortaleza FC have gone L D D D L D. Deportivo Cali have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W. In this competition Deportivo Cali have gone W D D W W W.
The numbers. Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Fortaleza FC average 13.4 shots (3.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Deportivo Cali score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Deportivo Cali average 11.5 shots (5.5 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Fortaleza FC have won four, drawn three and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Fortaleza FC won one, two were drawn and Deportivo Cali won one. The last time they met, on 1 Mar 2026, it finished Fortaleza FC 1-1 Deportivo Cali: Fortaleza FC had 13 shots to 13, 57% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. Deportivo Cali to win. A tight game. Deportivo Cali are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportivo Cali. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Deportivo Cali or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Deportivo Cali or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Fortaleza FC 0-1 Deportivo Cali (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).