PUPUM

04:10Sun 25 Oct

TIG

Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 14. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 04:10 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City.

What's at stake. Pumas UNAM are 12th on 16 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Club Tijuana, level on points with Puebla. A win would take them above Club Tijuana. Tigres UANL are 14th on 14 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Puebla, level on points with Atlante FC. A win would take them above Puebla.

Form. Pumas UNAM have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. In this competition Pumas UNAM have gone L W D L D L. Tigres UANL have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. In this competition Tigres UANL have gone L D W W L D.

The numbers. Pumas UNAM score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Pumas UNAM average 10.5 shots (3.9 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Tigres UANL score 0.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tigres UANL average 14.4 shots (5.1 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Pumas UNAM have won two, drawn four and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Pumas UNAM won one, one was drawn and Tigres UANL won two. The last time they met, on 15 Jan 2026, it finished Pumas UNAM 1-0 Tigres UANL: Pumas UNAM had 6 shots to 32, 32% of the ball, nine yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 52%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Tigres UANL or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tigres UANL or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Double Chance: Draw or Tigres UANL (no result call). Predicted score: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Tigres UANL (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.15

PUM 3 of 5 (60%) · TIG 5 of 5 (100%)90.1%

Pumas UNAM: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Tigres UANL: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Pumas UNAM: only games against sides at Tigres UANL's level · Tigres UANL: only games against sides at Pumas UNAM's level

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.39

PUM 2 of 5 (40%) · TIG 5 of 5 (100%)67.6%

Pumas UNAM: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Tigres UANL: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Pumas UNAM: only games against sides at Tigres UANL's level · Tigres UANL: only games against sides at Pumas UNAM's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.64

PUM 4 of 5 (80%) · TIG 2 of 5 (40%)58.8%

Pumas UNAM: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Tigres UANL: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 5 of 6 · Pumas UNAM: only games against sides at Tigres UANL's level · Tigres UANL: only games against sides at Pumas UNAM's level

PUMAS UNAM GOALS

Pumas UNAM Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.28

PUM 4 of 5 (80%) · TIG 3 of 5 (60%)75.2%

Pumas UNAM scored in 4 of 5 at home · Tigres UANL conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 6 of 6 · Pumas UNAM: only games against sides at Tigres UANL's level · Tigres UANL: only games against sides at Pumas UNAM's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.47

PUM 4 of 5 (80%) · TIG 4 of 5 (80%)74.2%

Pumas UNAM: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Tigres UANL: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Pumas UNAM: only games against sides at Tigres UANL's level · Tigres UANL: only games against sides at Pumas UNAM's level

Left off the list: Tigres UANL or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Tigres UANL or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Double Chance: Draw or Tigres UANL (no result call); Tigres UANL Over 0.5 goals (Tigres UANL's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Tigres UANL win or both teams score (no result call); Tigres UANL or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Tigres UANL or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Pumas UNAM goals →

Tigres UANL goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

PUMAS UNAMDDLWLDLDWL1.00 PPG

TIGRES UANLLWDDDLWWDL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PUMAS UNAM HOMExTIGRES UANL AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME0.901.70CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS40%38%FAILED TO SCORE31%5.25CORNERS A GAME6.252.25CARDS A GAME2.000.90xG1.201.89xG AGAINST1.50

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.08POINTS A GAME1.43-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-2.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.612LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

32%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

81%

NO · 85/90

PUMAS UNAM OR DRAW

80%

OKAY · 80/85

TIGRES UANL OR DRAW

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PUMAS UNAMxTIGRES UANL

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.002.00CONCEDED A GAME1.003.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

PUMAS UNAM 2 · 20%DRAW 4TIGRES UANL 4 · 40%

8 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-08-25Pumas UNAM 1 – 1 Tigres UANL

2023-02-12Pumas UNAM 2 – 4 Tigres UANL

2023-08-28Pumas UNAM 2 – 1 Tigres UANL

2023-12-08Pumas UNAM 0 – 1 Tigres UANL

2023-12-11Pumas UNAM 1 – 1 Tigres UANL

2024-02-04Pumas UNAM 2 – 2 Tigres UANL

2024-09-01Pumas UNAM 1 – 3 Tigres UANL

2025-04-20Pumas UNAM 1 – 2 Tigres UANL

TRENDS

Pumas UNAM have scored in 60% of their games.

Tigres UANL have scored in 60% of their games.

Pumas UNAM kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Tigres UANL kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards