Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 14. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio León, Leon.
Form. Club Leon have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W D. Deportivo Toluca FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L.
The numbers. Club Leon score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Club Leon average 4.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Deportivo Toluca FC score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Deportivo Toluca FC average 7.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 77% on the records (Club Leon: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8; Deportivo Toluca FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Deportivo Toluca FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Club Leon or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw). Predicted score: Club Leon 2-2 Deportivo Toluca FC (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).