Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 14. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.
What's at stake. Club Necaxa are 17th on 9 points after 13 games, 4 points behind CF Pachuca, 5 points clear of FC Juarez. FC Juarez are 18th on 4 points after 13 games, 5 points behind Necaxa.
Form. Club Necaxa have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. In this competition Club Necaxa have gone L L D L L L. FC Juarez have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition FC Juarez have gone L L D L W L.
The numbers. Club Necaxa score 0.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Club Necaxa average 13.6 shots (3.9 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. FC Juarez score 0.6 and concede 3.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Juarez average 9.6 shots (3.1 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Necaxa have won four, drawn five and lost one. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Club Necaxa won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 15 Feb 2026, it finished Club Necaxa 2-1 FC Juarez: Club Necaxa had 11 shots to 14, 50% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. FC Juarez's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Club Necaxa to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Club Necaxa the likelier winners; Club Necaxa are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Club Necaxa. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 75% on the records (Club Necaxa: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; FC Juarez: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Club Necaxa 2-1 FC Juarez (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).