Boyaca Chico FC vs CA Bucaramanga
Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 16. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio La Independencia, Tunja.
What's at stake. Boyaca Chico FC are 17th on 12 points after 14 games, level on points with Junior, 1 point clear of Fortaleza FC. A win would take them above Junior. CA Bucaramanga are 5th on 25 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Millonarios, level on points with Santa Fe. A win would take them above Millonarios.
Form. Boyaca Chico FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. In this competition Boyaca Chico FC have gone L L L D W L. CA Bucaramanga have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. In this competition CA Bucaramanga have gone D D W W W D.
The numbers. Boyaca Chico FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Boyaca Chico FC average 9.1 shots (3.0 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. CA Bucaramanga score two and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CA Bucaramanga average 10.5 shots (4.0 on target), 1.9 corners and 4.1 cards a game, with 37% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Boyaca Chico FC have won three, drawn three and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Boyaca Chico FC won one, one was drawn and CA Bucaramanga won two. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished Boyaca Chico FC 0-5 CA Bucaramanga: Boyaca Chico FC had 7 shots to 15, 48% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Boyaca Chico FC's record still gives them 25% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The read. CA Bucaramanga to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Bucaramanga the likelier winners; CA Bucaramanga are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Bucaramanga. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or CA Bucaramanga at 1.27, 78% on the records (CA Bucaramanga unbeaten in 5 of 5 away; Boyaca Chico FC failed to win 3 of 6 at home). Backup: CA Bucaramanga or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CA Bucaramanga or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (CA Bucaramanga are a clear winner, no Unders); Boyaca Chico FC Under 1.5 goals (Boyaca Chico FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Boyaca Chico FC 0-1 CA Bucaramanga (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).