CD Maipu vs CA Guemes
Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 35. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti, Maipu.
What's at stake. CD Maipu are 8th on 48 points after 34 games, 2 points behind Colegiales, 1 point clear of San Martin S.J.. A win would take them above Colegiales. CA Guemes are 18th on 26 points after 34 games, 10 points behind Nueva Chicago.
Form. CD Maipu have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. CA Guemes have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. CD Maipu score 0.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CD Maipu average 4.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game. CA Guemes score 0.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. CA Guemes average 3.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings CD Maipu have won none, drawn three and lost three. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and CA Guemes won two. The last time they met, on 7 Jun 2026, it finished CD Maipu 0-1 CA Guemes.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD Maipu the likelier winners, but CD Maipu are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CA Guemes.
The case against. The meetings do not back them.
The read. CD Maipu or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Maipu the likelier winners; CD Maipu are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CA Guemes. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 13%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Maipu 1-1 CA Guemes (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).