Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda vs Qadsia SC
Match details. AFC Challenge League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium, Kuwait.
Form. Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. In this competition Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda have gone W W. Qadsia SC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Qadsia SC have gone W.
The numbers. Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda score 1.4 and concede 0.2 a game over their last ten, with eight clean sheets and two games without a goal. Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda average 6.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Qadsia SC score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Qadsia SC average 11.5 shots (5.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 24% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda Over 0.5 goals (Qadsia SC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Regar-Tadaz Tursunzoda 0-0 Qadsia SC (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).