Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ethio Electric have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. Sheger Ketema have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. Ethio Electric score 0.8 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Ethio Electric average 7.4 shots (2.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Sheger Ketema score 0.8 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sheger Ketema average 7.3 shots (2.1 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 19%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.29, 81% on the records (Ethio Electric: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Sheger Ketema: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Leave: Ethio Electric or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Sheger Ketema or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ethio Electric 0-0 Sheger Ketema (18% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).