NKNKK

17:00Tue 20 Oct

HNK

NK Karlovac 1919 vs HNK Rijeka

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Croatian Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Branko Čavlović-Čavlek, Karlovac.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. NK Karlovac 1919 have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. In this competition NK Karlovac 1919 have gone W W. HNK Rijeka have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. In this competition HNK Rijeka have gone W.

The numbers. NK Karlovac 1919 score 1.8 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. NK Karlovac 1919 average 10.5 shots (4.2 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. HNK Rijeka score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. HNK Rijeka average 14.1 shots (5.4 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.

The case against. NK Karlovac 1919's record still gives them 46% to win.

The read. HNK Rijeka to win. An open game. NK Karlovac 1919 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NK Karlovac 1919. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (HNK Rijeka are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (HNK Rijeka are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: NK Karlovac 1919 1-2 HNK Rijeka (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

HNK Rijeka or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKK 5 of 6 (83%) · HNK 9 of 10 (90%)89.3%

HNK Rijeka: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · NK Karlovac 1919: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.14

NKK 7 of 10 (70%) · HNK 5 of 6 (83%)80.6%

NK Karlovac 1919: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · HNK Rijeka: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

NKK 5 of 10 (50%) · HNK 3 of 6 (50%)52.9%

NK Karlovac 1919: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · HNK Rijeka: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 60%

HNK RIJEKA GOALS

HNK Rijeka Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKK 4 of 6 (67%) · HNK 8 of 10 (80%)78.6%

HNK Rijeka scored in 4 of 6 away · NK Karlovac 1919 conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.13

NKK 6 of 10 (60%) · HNK 5 of 6 (83%)72.8%

NK Karlovac 1919: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · HNK Rijeka: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (HNK Rijeka are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (HNK Rijeka are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 7.3%

NK Karlovac 1919 goals →

HNK Rijeka goals ↓

0-06%

1-08%

2-07%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-25%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.6%

1-41.0%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

NK KARLOVAC 1919WWDWLWLDWW2.00 PPG

HNK RIJEKALWLDWDWWLW1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NK KARLOVAC 1919 HOMExHNK RIJEKA AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME2.101.00CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE22%4.30CORNERS A GAME5.712.00CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR HNK RIJEKA (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.56POINTS A GAME1.57+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.29+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.11.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

NK KARLOVAC 1919 OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

HNK RIJEKA OR DRAW

43%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NK KARLOVAC 1919xHNK RIJEKA

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME2.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.402.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE80%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.88.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

NK Karlovac 1919 have scored in 80% of their games.

HNK Rijeka have scored in 80% of their games.

NK Karlovac 1919 kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

HNK Rijeka kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards