Match details. Slovensky Pohar, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Štadión Liptovský Mikuláš.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. MFK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition MFK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas have gone W W. MFK Skalica have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. In this competition MFK Skalica have gone W W.
The numbers. MFK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas score 1.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. MFK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas average 13.1 shots (4.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game. MFK Skalica score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. MFK Skalica average 9.6 shots (4.2 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings MFK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas have won one, drawn three and lost six. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and MFK Skalica won three. The last time they met, on 13 May 2023, it finished MFK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 0-4 MFK Skalica: MFK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas had 8 shots to 9, 59% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. MFK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas are the form side, but the meetings favour MFK Skalica: in the last ten meetings, MFK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas won one, MFK Skalica won six and three were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%; eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: MFK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas 2-1 MFK Skalica (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).