ITISA

17:00Tue 20 Oct

UMA

Isa Town vs Um Alhassam

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. First Division. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. Isa Town have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. Um Alhassam have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.

The numbers. Isa Town score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Isa Town average 8.0 shots (3.0 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Um Alhassam score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The case against. Isa Town's record still gives them 33% to win.

The read. Um Alhassam to win. Their goals for and against make Um Alhassam the likelier winners; Um Alhassam are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Um Alhassam.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Isa Town or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Um Alhassam); Isa Town or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Um Alhassam). Predicted score: Isa Town 0-1 Um Alhassam (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Um Alhassam or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ISA 3 of 5 (60%) · UMA 4 of 5 (80%)75%

Um Alhassam: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Isa Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Um Alhassam: only games against sides at Isa Town's level · Isa Town: only games against sides at Um Alhassam's level

Um Alhassam or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ISA 3 of 5 (60%) · UMA 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%

Um Alhassam: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Isa Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Um Alhassam: only games against sides at Isa Town's level · Isa Town: only games against sides at Um Alhassam's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ISA 5 of 5 (100%) · UMA 5 of 5 (100%)96.7%

Isa Town: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Um Alhassam: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Isa Town: only games against sides at Um Alhassam's level · Um Alhassam: only games against sides at Isa Town's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ISA 5 of 5 (100%) · UMA 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%

Isa Town: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Um Alhassam: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Isa Town: only games against sides at Um Alhassam's level · Um Alhassam: only games against sides at Isa Town's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ISA 4 of 5 (80%) · UMA 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%

Isa Town: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Um Alhassam: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Isa Town: only games against sides at Um Alhassam's level · Um Alhassam: only games against sides at Isa Town's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 80%

1.25

ISA 2 of 5 (40%) · UMA 3 of 5 (60%)58.3%

Isa Town: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Um Alhassam: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Isa Town: only games against sides at Um Alhassam's level · Um Alhassam: only games against sides at Isa Town's level

Left off the list: Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (39%) and the records (57%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Isa Town or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Um Alhassam); Isa Town or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Um Alhassam); Um Alhassam Over 0.5 Goals (Um Alhassam's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Isa Town Over 0.5 Goals (Isa Town's own games don't back it (2 of 5))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 13.6%

Isa Town goals →

Um Alhassam goals ↓

0-011%

1-09%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.0%

0-114%

1-113%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-29%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.0%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.5%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-41%

2-40.6%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

ISA TOWNLLLLWWWLLL0.90 PPG

UM ALHASSAMDWLDDLLLWL0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ISA TOWN HOMExUM ALHASSAM AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.102.20CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS20%

TRENDS

Isa Town have scored in 70% of their games.

Um Alhassam have scored in 70% of their games.

Isa Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Um Alhassam kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards