FC Istiklol vs Al Arabi
Match details. AFC Challenge League. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Istiklol have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. Al Arabi have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L D.
The numbers. FC Istiklol score 0.8 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. FC Istiklol average 11.2 shots (3.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Al Arabi score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Al Arabi average 10.4 shots (4.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The case against. FC Istiklol's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Al Arabi to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Arabi the likelier winners; Al Arabi are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31, 81% on the records (FC Istiklol: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Al Arabi: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Istiklol 1-2 Al Arabi (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).