Fortis FC vs FC Goa
Match details. AFC Challenge League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 14:25 Lagos time. It is played at Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium, Kuwait.
Form. Fortis FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. In this competition Fortis FC have gone L W. FC Goa have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. In this competition FC Goa have gone L.
The numbers. Fortis FC score 2.7 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Fortis FC average 9.2 shots (4.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. FC Goa score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Goa average 11.8 shots (3.8 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 57%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. No firm call: Fortis FC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Fortis FC the likelier winners; Fortis FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fortis FC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Fortis FC Over 1.5 Goals (FC Goa's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: Fortis FC 1-1 FC Goa (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).