Paro FC vs AL Ansar SC
Match details. AFC Challenge League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu.
Form. Paro FC have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Paro FC have gone D W. AL Ansar SC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition AL Ansar SC have gone W.
The numbers. Paro FC score 3.6 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets. Paro FC average 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game. AL Ansar SC score three and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. AL Ansar SC average 12.4 shots (5.9 on target), 7.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 26% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: Paro FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Paro FC the likelier winners; Paro FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Paro FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 92% on the records (Paro FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; AL Ansar SC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Paro FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.37. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Paro FC 2-1 AL Ansar SC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).