Homs Al-Fidaa SC vs Nejmeh SC
Match details. AFC Challenge League. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Homs Al-Fidaa SC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W. Nejmeh SC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Homs Al-Fidaa SC score 1.6 and concede 0.3 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets. Homs Al-Fidaa SC average 6.7 shots (2.7 on target), 2.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Nejmeh SC score two and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Nejmeh SC average 9.2 shots (3.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 0.5 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, 80% on the records (Homs Al-Fidaa SC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Nejmeh SC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Homs Al-Fidaa SC 1-1 Nejmeh SC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).