Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Worcester City have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. Chorley FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W.
The numbers. Worcester City score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Worcester City average 10.7 shots (5.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Chorley FC score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Chorley FC average 10.1 shots (5.2 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 17 Oct 2026, it finished Worcester City 1-1 Chorley FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Chorley FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Chorley FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Chorley FC win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: Worcester City 1-1 Chorley FC (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
WOR 5 of 5 (100%) · CHO 4 of 5 (80%)91.2%
Worcester City: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Chorley FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
WORCESTER CITY GOALS
Worcester City Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.26
WOR 3 of 5 (60%) · CHO 4 of 5 (80%)69%
Worcester City scored in 3 of 5 at home · Chorley FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
Worcester City Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
WOR 4 of 5 (80%) · CHO 3 of 5 (60%)66%
Worcester City scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Chorley FC conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
CHORLEY FC GOALS
Chorley FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.22
WOR 3 of 5 (60%) · CHO 3 of 5 (60%)64.6%
Chorley FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Worcester City conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
Left off the list: Chorley FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Chorley FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Chorley FC win or both teams score (no result call); Chorley FC (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Chorley FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.7%
Worcester City goals →
Chorley FC goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
WORCESTER CITYWLWDLDWLLD1.20 PPG
CHORLEY FCDDLWLWWWWD1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
WORCESTER CITY HOMExCHORLEY FC AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.801.30CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS10%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.67CORNERS A GAME5.671.33CARDS A GAME2.44
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
WORCESTER CITY 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.64POINTS A GAME1.55-0.73GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.70.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.811LEAGUE GAMES11
Chorley FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
CHORLEY FC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
WORCESTER CITY OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
CHORLEY FC OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
WORCESTER CITYxCHORLEY FC
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.801.60CONCEDED A GAME2.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
WORCESTER CITY 0 · 0%DRAW 1CHORLEY FC 0 · 0%
2026-10-17Worcester City 1 – 1 Chorley FC
TRENDS
Worcester City have scored in 60% of their games.
Chorley FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Worcester City kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Chorley FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards