Stafford Rangers vs Gateshead FC
Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Stafford Rangers have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W. Gateshead FC have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition Gateshead FC have gone D.
The numbers. Stafford Rangers score 1.7 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Stafford Rangers average 1.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Gateshead FC score 0.6 and concede 2.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Gateshead FC average 6.0 shots (2.3 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 17 Oct 2026, it finished Stafford Rangers 1-1 Gateshead FC: Stafford Rangers had 9 shots to 12, 34% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. A knockout game (4th Round Qualifying) with penalties if level, and Stafford Rangers are not clearly stronger. Gateshead FC's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Stafford Rangers or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Stafford Rangers the likelier winners; Stafford Rangers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Stafford Rangers. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Stafford Rangers or Draw at 1.38, 80% on the records (Stafford Rangers unbeaten in 6 of 10; Gateshead FC failed to win 10 of 10). Backup: Stafford Rangers Over 0.5 Goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Gateshead FC Under 1.5 goals (Stafford Rangers's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Stafford Rangers Over 1.5 goals (Stafford Rangers's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: Stafford Rangers 2-1 Gateshead FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).