Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Forest Green Rovers have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D L. In this competition Forest Green Rovers have gone D. Chesham United have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W.
The numbers. Forest Green Rovers score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Forest Green Rovers average 16.4 shots (4.9 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Chesham United score 2.3 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Chesham United average 6.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 17 Oct 2026, it finished Forest Green Rovers 0-0 Chesham United.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 12% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: Chesham United are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Chesham United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Chesham United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Forest Green Rovers or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Chesham United); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Forest Green Rovers 2-2 Chesham United (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).