Match details. FA Cup, 4th Round Qualifying. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Alvechurch have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D. Spalding United have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L.
The numbers. Alvechurch score 1.7 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Spalding United score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Spalding United average 7.2 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Alvechurch have won one, drawn two and lost three. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, two were drawn and Spalding United won two. The last time they met, on 17 Oct 2026, it finished Alvechurch 2-2 Spalding United.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Alvechurch the likelier winners, but the meetings favour Spalding United.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Spalding United Over 0.5 goals (Alvechurch's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Alvechurch 1-1 Spalding United (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
ALV 6 of 6 (100%) · SPA 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Alvechurch: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Spalding United: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6
ALVECHURCH GOALS
Alvechurch Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
ALV 4 of 6 (67%) · SPA 5 of 5 (100%)66.4%
Alvechurch scored in 4 of 6 at home · Spalding United conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 6
Left off the list: Spalding United Over 0.5 goals (Alvechurch's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.4%
Alvechurch goals →
Spalding United goals ↓
0-010%
1-012%
2-09%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
ALVECHURCHWWWDLDWLDD1.60 PPG
SPALDING UNITEDDWWWWLDWLD1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ALVECHURCH HOMExSPALDING UNITED AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.801.00CONCEDED A GAME0.9030%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
SPALDING UNITED 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.91POINTS A GAME1.09+1.09GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.09–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.411LEAGUE GAMES11
Alvechurch: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
49%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
23%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ALVECHURCH OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
SPALDING UNITED OR DRAW
39%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ALVECHURCHxSPALDING UNITED
6GAMES61.83SCORED A GAME1.170.33CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.267%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%17%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6
ALVECHURCH 1 · 17%DRAW 2SPALDING UNITED 3 · 50%
2 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED
4 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-10-05Alvechurch 2 – 1 Spalding United
2024-12-14Alvechurch 0 – 1 Spalding United
2025-04-12Alvechurch 0 – 0 Spalding United
2025-11-01Alvechurch 0 – 2 Spalding United
2026-02-14Alvechurch 0 – 3 Spalding United
2026-10-17Alvechurch 2 – 2 Spalding United
TRENDS
Alvechurch have scored in 80% of their games.
Spalding United have scored in 90% of their games.
Alvechurch kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Spalding United kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head