Match details. 3. Division, Group 3. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. Aasane Fotball 2 have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. Varegg have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W.
The numbers. Aasane Fotball 2 score 1.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Aasane Fotball 2 average 5.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Varegg score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Varegg average 3.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. Aasane Fotball 2's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Varegg to win. An open game. Varegg are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Varegg. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 90%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Varegg or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Aasane Fotball 2 1-2 Varegg (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).