Connah`s Quay Nomads FC vs Llandudno FC
Llandudno FC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Connah`s Quay Nomads FC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Llandudno FC: only games against sides at Connah`s Quay Nomads FC's level · Connah`s Quay Nomads FC: only games against sides at Llandudno FC's level
Match details. Cymru Premier, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Essity Stadium, Flint. The referee is A. McInch.
What's at stake. Connah`s Quay Nomads FC are 2nd on 31 points after 13 games, 9 points behind The New Saints, 1 point clear of Penybont. Llandudno FC are 10th on 16 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Cambrian & Clydach, 4 points clear of Briton Ferry. A win would take them above Cambrian & Clydach.
Form. Connah`s Quay Nomads FC have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Connah`s Quay Nomads FC have gone W W W W W L. Llandudno FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. In this competition Llandudno FC have gone L L L L D L.
The numbers. Connah`s Quay Nomads FC score 1.8 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Connah`s Quay Nomads FC average 1.3 corners and 0.2 cards a game. Llandudno FC score 1.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Llandudno FC average 0.9 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Connah`s Quay Nomads FC have won five, drawn two and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Connah`s Quay Nomads FC won three and Llandudno FC won one. The last time they met, on 21 Nov 2025, it finished Connah`s Quay Nomads FC 1-2 Llandudno FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Connah`s Quay Nomads FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Llandudno FC: in the last ten meetings, Connah`s Quay Nomads FC won five, Llandudno FC won three and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 77% on the records (Connah`s Quay Nomads FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Llandudno FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Llandudno FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.24. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Connah`s Quay Nomads FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Connah`s Quay Nomads FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Connah`s Quay Nomads FC 2-1 Llandudno FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).