Muglaspor vs Istanbulspor AS
Match details. 1. Lig, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu, Mugla/Marmaris. The referee is Burak Olcar.
What's at stake. Muglaspor are 9th on 15 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Sarıyer, 1 point clear of Bandırmaspor. A win would take them above Sarıyer. Istanbulspor AS are 19th on 5 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Vanspor FK, 4 points clear of Boluspor. A win would take them above Vanspor FK.
Form. Muglaspor have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D D. In this competition Muglaspor have gone W L D D D D. Istanbulspor AS have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Istanbulspor AS have gone L L L W L L.
The numbers. Muglaspor score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Muglaspor average 12.0 shots (5.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Istanbulspor AS score one and concede three a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Istanbulspor AS average 9.6 shots (2.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 41% of the ball.
The read. Muglaspor to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Muglaspor the likelier winners; Muglaspor are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Muglaspor. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. Best bet: Muglaspor or Draw at 1.31, 80% on the records (Muglaspor unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Istanbulspor AS failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Muglaspor Over 0.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Muglaspor or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Istanbulspor AS Under 1.5 goals (Muglaspor's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Muglaspor 2-1 Istanbulspor AS (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).