AEL Limassol vs Aris Limassol
Match details. 1st Division, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Alphamega Stadium, Limassol. The referee is Ioannis Christodoulou.
What's at stake. AEL Limassol are 1st on 15 points after 6 games, 2 points clear of AEK Larnaca. Aris Limassol are 6th on 9 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Pafos, 1 point clear of Apoel Nicosia. A win would take them above Pafos.
Form. AEL Limassol have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. Aris Limassol have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W.
The numbers. AEL Limassol score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. AEL Limassol average 11.8 shots (5.2 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Aris Limassol score 1.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Aris Limassol average 14.5 shots (6.9 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AEL Limassol have won three, drawn one and lost six. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, AEL Limassol won two and Aris Limassol won two. The last time they met, on 1 Feb 2026, it finished AEL Limassol 2-1 Aris Limassol: AEL Limassol had 6 shots to 14, 45% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. AEL Limassol are the form side, but the meetings favour Aris Limassol: in the last ten meetings, AEL Limassol won three, Aris Limassol won six and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.28, 76% on the records (AEL Limassol: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Aris Limassol: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: AEL Limassol or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Aris Limassol or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); AEL Limassol or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: AEL Limassol 1-2 Aris Limassol (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).