Match details. 1st Division, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Paphos, a neutral ground. The referee is Nikolas Liotatis.
What's at stake. Karmiotissa FC are 14th on 3 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Krasava Ypsonas. A win would take them above Krasava Ypsonas. Apollon Limassol are 4th on 12 points after 6 games, level on points with Omonia Nicosia, 1 point clear of Pafos. A win would take them above Omonia Nicosia.
Form. Karmiotissa FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D. Apollon Limassol have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W.
The numbers. Karmiotissa FC score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Karmiotissa FC average 9.1 shots (3.5 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Apollon Limassol score 2.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Apollon Limassol average 12.6 shots (5.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Karmiotissa FC have won two, drawn four and lost three. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Karmiotissa FC won one, two were drawn and Apollon Limassol won one. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2025, it finished Karmiotissa FC 0-3 Apollon Limassol.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The read. Apollon Limassol to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Apollon Limassol the likelier winners; Apollon Limassol are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Apollon Limassol. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Apollon Limassol at 1.12, 76% on the records (Apollon Limassol unbeaten in 6 of 6; Karmiotissa FC failed to win 6 of 6). Backup: Apollon Limassol or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Apollon Limassol or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Karmiotissa FC Under 1.5 goals (Apollon Limassol's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Karmiotissa FC 0-1 Apollon Limassol (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).