Match details. 1. Liga, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Shinnik, Yaroslavl.
What's at stake. FC Shinnik Yaroslavl are 8th on 20 points after 14 games, 1 point behind FC UFA, 1 point clear of Rotor Volgograd. A win would take them above FC UFA. Spartak Kostroma are 4th on 27 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Torpedo Moskva, level on points with Veles. A win would take them above Torpedo Moskva.
Form. FC Shinnik Yaroslavl have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. Spartak Kostroma have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. FC Shinnik Yaroslavl score 1.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Shinnik Yaroslavl average 5.3 shots (2.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Spartak Kostroma score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Spartak Kostroma average 8.0 shots (4.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings FC Shinnik Yaroslavl have won none, drawn two and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished FC Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 Spartak Kostroma.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18, 83% on the records (FC Shinnik Yaroslavl: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Spartak Kostroma: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Spartak Kostroma Over 0.5 Goals at 1.41. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Spartak Kostroma or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Spartak Kostroma (no result call); Spartak Kostroma or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: FC Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 Spartak Kostroma (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).