Ario Eslamshahr vs Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC
Match details. Azadegan League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 14:15 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Ario Eslamshahr are 5th on 9 points after 5 games, level on points with Shenavarsazi Qeshm, 1 point clear of Naft Masjed Soleyman. A win would take them above Shenavarsazi Qeshm. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC are 12th on 6 points after 5 games, level on points with Naft Gachsaran, level on points with Shahin Bandar Ameri. A win would take them above Naft Gachsaran.
Form. Ario Eslamshahr have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D.
The numbers. Ario Eslamshahr score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Ario Eslamshahr have won three, drawn one and lost none. None of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 16 Jun 2026, it finished Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC.
The case against. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. Ario Eslamshahr to win. A tight game. Ario Eslamshahr are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ario Eslamshahr; the meetings favour Ario Eslamshahr. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%. Four of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Ario Eslamshahr or Draw at 1.33, 74% on the records (Ario Eslamshahr unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC failed to win 3 of 5 away). Leave: Ario Eslamshahr Over 0.5 Goals (Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).