Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Yadegar-e-Emam Stadium, Tabriz, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Tractor Tabriz are 4th on 17 points after 8 games, level on points with Sepahan FC, 1 point clear of Foolad FC. A win would take them above Sepahan FC. Sanat Naft Abadan FC are 16th on 7 points after 9 games, level on points with ZOB Ahan, 1 point clear of Esteghlal Khuzestan. A win would take them above ZOB Ahan.
Form. Tractor Tabriz have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W. Sanat Naft Abadan FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D.
The numbers. Tractor Tabriz score 0.9 and concede 0.3 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and four games without a goal. Tractor Tabriz average 2.2 shots (0.6 on target), 1.2 corners and 0.4 cards a game. Sanat Naft Abadan FC score 0.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Sanat Naft Abadan FC average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Tractor Tabriz have won six, drawn one and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Tractor Tabriz won four. The last time they met, on 1 Jun 2024, it finished Tractor Tabriz 3-0 Sanat Naft Abadan FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 61%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Tractor Tabriz are the better side, but not at this price. Tractor Tabriz are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tractor Tabriz; the meetings favour Tractor Tabriz.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Tractor Tabriz 1-1 Sanat Naft Abadan FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).