Match details. Esiliiga B. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. JK Tabasalu have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. JK Narva Trans have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. JK Tabasalu score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. JK Tabasalu average 5.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game. JK Narva Trans score 1.5 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. JK Narva Trans average 5.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 78% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: JK Narva Trans are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. JK Narva Trans are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour JK Narva Trans. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: JK Narva Trans Over 1.5 Goals (JK Narva Trans's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); JK Narva Trans to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: JK Tabasalu 1-2 JK Narva Trans (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).