CTCDT

21:30Mon 26 Oct

MUS

CD Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Relegation Group - 4. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Bellavista, Ambato.

What's at stake. It is played over two legs.

Form. CD Tecnico Universitario have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L. Mushuc Runa SC have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L D.

The numbers. CD Tecnico Universitario score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CD Tecnico Universitario average 4.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Mushuc Runa SC score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mushuc Runa SC average 5.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: CD Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Mushuc Runa SC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · MUS 6 of 6 (100%)96.1%

CD Tecnico Universitario: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Mushuc Runa SC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · CD Tecnico Universitario: only games against sides at Mushuc Runa SC's level · Mushuc Runa SC: only games against sides at CD Tecnico Universitario's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · MUS 4 of 6 (67%)92.5%

CD Tecnico Universitario: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Mushuc Runa SC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Tecnico Universitario: only games against sides at Mushuc Runa SC's level · Mushuc Runa SC: only games against sides at CD Tecnico Universitario's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDT 4 of 5 (80%) · MUS 5 of 6 (83%)90.1%

CD Tecnico Universitario: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Mushuc Runa SC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · CD Tecnico Universitario: only games against sides at Mushuc Runa SC's level · Mushuc Runa SC: only games against sides at CD Tecnico Universitario's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.22

CDT 2 of 5 (40%) · MUS 4 of 6 (67%)78.2%

CD Tecnico Universitario: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Mushuc Runa SC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Tecnico Universitario: only games against sides at Mushuc Runa SC's level · Mushuc Runa SC: only games against sides at CD Tecnico Universitario's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.39

CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · MUS 4 of 6 (67%)69.7%

CD Tecnico Universitario: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Mushuc Runa SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · CD Tecnico Universitario: only games against sides at Mushuc Runa SC's level · Mushuc Runa SC: only games against sides at CD Tecnico Universitario's level

MUSHUC RUNA SC GOALS

Mushuc Runa SC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.39

CDT 4 of 6 (67%) · MUS 5 of 5 (100%)69.3%

Mushuc Runa SC scored in 4 of 6 away · CD Tecnico Universitario conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Mushuc Runa SC: only games against sides at CD Tecnico Universitario's level · CD Tecnico Universitario: only games against sides at Mushuc Runa SC's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

CD Tecnico… goals →

Mushuc Runa SC goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

CD TECNICO UNIVERSITARIOLLDWLLWLLL0.70 PPG

MUSHUC RUNA SCDLDLDDWDDW1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD TECNICO UNIVERSITARIO HOMExMUSHUC RUNA SC AWAY

0.91SCORED A GAME1.181.39CONCEDED A GAME1.3060%BOTH SCORED50%10%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.85CORNERS A GAME5.123.03CARDS A GAME2.48

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.93POINTS A GAME1.33-0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.80.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.614LEAGUE GAMES12

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

46%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CD TECNICO UNIVERSITARIO OR DRAW

46%

NO · 80/85

MUSHUC RUNA SC OR DRAW

66%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CD TECNICO UNIVERSITARIOxMUSHUC RUNA SC

8GAMES61.00SCORED A GAME1.501.75CONCEDED A GAME1.502.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.075%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%50%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

CD Tecnico Universitario have scored in 70% of their games.

Mushuc Runa SC have scored in 70% of their games.

CD Tecnico Universitario kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Mushuc Runa SC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards