Match details. LigaPro Primera A, Relegation Group - 4. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jocay, Manta.
What's at stake. Manta FC are 16th on 27 points after 33 games, 6 points behind Tecnico Universitario. CD Cuenca are 11th on 41 points after 33 games, 1 point clear of Mushuc Runa SC. CD Cuenca have nothing left to play for. It is played over two legs.
Form. Manta FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. In this competition Manta FC have gone L W W D L L. CD Cuenca have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D L. In this competition CD Cuenca have gone W D D D L W.
The numbers. Manta FC score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Manta FC average 11.2 shots (3.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. CD Cuenca score 0.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. CD Cuenca average 15.2 shots (3.9 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Manta FC have won four, drawn none and lost six. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Manta FC won one and CD Cuenca won three. The last time they met, on 11 Aug 2026, it finished Manta FC 2-1 CD Cuenca: Manta FC had 8 shots to 27, 35% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17, 75% on the records (Manta FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CD Cuenca: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Manta FC 1-1 CD Cuenca (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).