Sporting vs LASK Linz
Match details. UCL, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon.
Form. Sporting have won four, drawn two and lost none of their last six, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. In this competition Sporting have gone W W. LASK Linz have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L. In this competition LASK Linz have gone L L.
The numbers. Sporting score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets. Sporting average 11.4 shots (5.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. LASK Linz score 2.2 and concede 2.4 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. LASK Linz average 17.6 shots (5.8 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Sporting have won one, drawn none and lost two. Three of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 81% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: Sporting are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sporting the likelier winners; Sporting are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sporting. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%. Three of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Sporting 2-1 LASK Linz (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).