Zhejiang Hangzhou vs Beijing WFC
Match details. Chinese Super League, Women. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Zhejiang Hangzhou have won four, drawn one and lost four of their last nine league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W L L L. Beijing WFC have won six, drawn two and lost one of their last nine league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W W W.
The numbers. Zhejiang Hangzhou score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Beijing WFC score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Beijing WFC average 7.5 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 81% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Beijing WFC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Beijing WFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Beijing WFC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 13%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, rated 88% (Zhejiang Hangzhou: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; Beijing WFC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: Zhejiang Hangzhou 0-0 Beijing WFC (20% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Beijing WFC the favourite), a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).