WPWEL

03:00Sun 25 Oct

CEN

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Central Coast Mariners

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. A-League, Regular Season - 2. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sky Stadium, Wellington. The referee is S. Kelly.

What's at stake. Wellington Phoenix FC are 4th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Brisbane Roar, level on points with Auckland. A win would take them above Brisbane Roar. Central Coast Mariners are 7th on 1 point after 1 game, 1 point behind Newcastle Jets, level on points with Sydney. A win would take them above Newcastle Jets.

Team news. Wellington Phoenix FC are without F. Conchie (inactive), I. Hughes (inactive), J. Smith (inactive), F. Conchie (inactive), I. Hughes (inactive), J. Smith (inactive). Central Coast Mariners are without K. Popovic (inactive), K. Popovic (inactive).

Form. Wellington Phoenix FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. In this competition Wellington Phoenix FC have gone W L W L W W. Central Coast Mariners have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. In this competition Central Coast Mariners have gone D L W D L D.

The numbers. Wellington Phoenix FC score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Wellington Phoenix FC average 13.2 shots (4.0 on target), 7.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Central Coast Mariners score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Central Coast Mariners average 11.6 shots (4.2 on target), 2.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Wellington Phoenix FC have won three, drawn five and lost one. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Wellington Phoenix FC won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 21 Dec 2025, it finished Wellington Phoenix FC 3-1 Central Coast Mariners: Wellington Phoenix FC had 9 shots to 10, 44% of the ball, one yellow card.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Central Coast Mariners's record still gives them 32% to win.

The read. Wellington Phoenix FC to win. Wellington Phoenix FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wellington Phoenix FC; the meetings favour Wellington Phoenix FC.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Wellington Phoenix FC 1-0 Central Coast Mariners (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Wellington Phoenix FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

WEL 4 of 5 (80%) · CEN 4 of 5 (80%)80.7%

Wellington Phoenix FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level

Wellington Phoenix FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.25

WEL 4 of 5 (80%) · CEN 4 of 5 (80%)74.8%

Wellington Phoenix FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level

Wellington Phoenix FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

1.13

WEL 3 of 5 (60%) · CEN 4 of 5 (80%)73.1%

Wellington Phoenix FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level

Wellington Phoenix FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.40

WEL 3 of 5 (60%) · CEN 3 of 5 (60%)68.7%

Wellington Phoenix FC won 3 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Central Coast Mariners lost 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 2 of 3 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level · won 6, refunded 0, lost 4

Wellington Phoenix FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.26

WEL 4 of 5 (80%) · CEN 4 of 5 (80%)67.5%

Wellington Phoenix FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 6 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 86%

1.16

WEL 3 of 5 (60%) · CEN 3 of 5 (60%)62.2%

Wellington Phoenix FC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 away

Wellington Phoenix FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.39

WEL 3 of 5 (60%) · CEN 3 of 5 (60%)56.7%

Wellington Phoenix FC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners trailed in 3 of 6 away

1X2 - 2UP: Wellington Phoenix FCSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.68

WEL 3 of 5 (60%) · CEN 3 of 5 (60%)56.7%

Wellington Phoenix FC scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 3 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners trailed by 2 or lost in 3 of 6 away · rule 2: the meetings back Wellington Phoenix FC: in the last 9 meetings, Wellington Phoenix FC won 3, Central Coast Mariners won 1 and 5 were drawn; in the last 4, Wellington Phoenix FC won 2 and 2 were drawn

Wellington Phoenix FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.78

WEL 3 of 5 (60%) · CEN 3 of 5 (60%)50.5%

Wellington Phoenix FC won 3 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 40% · H2H 2 of 6 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

WEL 4 of 5 (80%) · CEN 4 of 5 (80%)89.1%

Wellington Phoenix FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.57

WEL 2 of 5 (40%) · CEN 3 of 5 (60%)52.9%

Wellington Phoenix FC: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 6 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level

WELLINGTON PHOENIX FC GOALS

Wellington Phoenix FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.13

WEL 3 of 5 (60%) · CEN 4 of 5 (80%)79.2%

Wellington Phoenix FC scored in 3 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level

CENTRAL COAST MARINERS GOALS

Central Coast Mariners Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.34

WEL 4 of 5 (80%) · CEN 4 of 5 (80%)66.8%

Central Coast Mariners scored in 4 of 5 away · Wellington Phoenix FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level

Central Coast Mariners Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.44

WEL 4 of 5 (80%) · CEN 4 of 5 (80%)65%

Central Coast Mariners scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Wellington Phoenix FC conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level

HALVES

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

WEL 4 of 5 (80%) · CEN 4 of 5 (80%)85%

Wellington Phoenix FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.25

WEL 3 of 5 (60%) · CEN 5 of 5 (100%)80.8%

Wellington Phoenix FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.60

WEL 2 of 5 (40%) · CEN 4 of 5 (80%)62.9%

Wellington Phoenix FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Central Coast Mariners: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level

CORNERS

Over 10.5 CornersHELD · the odds board 49%

2.05

WEL 8 of 8 (100%) · CEN 4 of 8 (50%)75%

Wellington Phoenix FC's games: over 10.5 corners in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Central Coast Mariners's games: over 10.5 corners in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Wellington Phoenix FC: only games against sides at Central Coast Mariners's level · Central Coast Mariners: only games against sides at Wellington Phoenix FC's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 9.8%

Wellington Phoenix FC goals →

Central Coast Mariners goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

WELLINGTON PHOENIX FCLLDWWWLWLW1.60 PPG

CENTRAL COAST MARINERSDWDLDLDWLD1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

WELLINGTON PHOENIX FC HOMExCENTRAL COAST MARINERS AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.301.60CONCEDED A GAME1.8020%CLEAN SHEETS10%7.62CORNERS A GAME2.621.25CARDS A GAME1.881.37xG0.951.43xG AGAINST2.53

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

WELLINGTON PHOENIX FC 3 · 33%DRAW 5CENTRAL COAST MARINERS 1 · 11%

6 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-10-16Wellington Phoenix FC 2 – 2 Central Coast Mariners

2023-01-22Wellington Phoenix FC 2 – 1 Central Coast Mariners

2023-02-24Wellington Phoenix FC 1 – 1 Central Coast Mariners

2024-02-06Wellington Phoenix FC 0 – 0 Central Coast Mariners

2024-04-06Wellington Phoenix FC 1 – 2 Central Coast Mariners

2024-11-10Wellington Phoenix FC 3 – 0 Central Coast Mariners

2025-01-25Wellington Phoenix FC 0 – 0 Central Coast Mariners

2025-11-02Wellington Phoenix FC 1 – 1 Central Coast Mariners

TEAM NEWS

WELLINGTON PHOENIX FC

Out: F. Conchie (Inactive), I. Hughes (Inactive), J. Smith (Inactive), F. Conchie (Inactive), I. Hughes (Inactive), J. Smith (Inactive)

CENTRAL COAST MARINERS

Out: K. Popovic (Inactive), K. Popovic (Inactive)

TRENDS

Wellington Phoenix FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Central Coast Mariners have scored in 90% of their games.

Wellington Phoenix FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Central Coast Mariners kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards