Nueva Chicago vs San Martin de San Juan
Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 35. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. Nueva Chicago are 17th on 36 points after 34 games, level on points with Chacarita Juniors, 10 points clear of Club Atlético Güemes. A win would take them above Chacarita Juniors. San Martin de San Juan are 9th on 47 points after 34 games, 1 point behind Deportivo Maipu, 1 point clear of San Martin Tucuman. A win would take them above Deportivo Maipu. San Martin de San Juan have nothing left to play for.
Form. Nueva Chicago have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. San Martin de San Juan have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W.
The numbers. Nueva Chicago score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Nueva Chicago average 3.5 corners and 3.1 cards a game. San Martin de San Juan score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. San Martin de San Juan average 3.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Nueva Chicago have won one, drawn three and lost five. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Nueva Chicago won one, one was drawn and San Martin de San Juan won two. The last time they met, on 26 Aug 2026, it finished Nueva Chicago 0-1 San Martin de San Juan.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.13, 79% on the records (Nueva Chicago: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; San Martin de San Juan: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: San Martin de San Juan or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); San Martin de San Juan 1UP (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nueva Chicago 1-1 San Martin de San Juan (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).