Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 35. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium, Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. CA Ferrocarril Midland are 6th on 51 points after 34 games, 1 point behind Gimnasia Y Tiro, 1 point clear of Colegiales. A win would take them above Gimnasia Y Tiro. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta are 5th on 52 points after 34 games, 6 points behind Atlanta, 1 point clear of Midland.
Form. CA Ferrocarril Midland have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. In this competition CA Ferrocarril Midland have gone L W D L W W. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta have gone W D L W L D.
The numbers. CA Ferrocarril Midland score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Ferrocarril Midland average 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta score one and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta average 3.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 6 Jun 2026, it finished CA Ferrocarril Midland 0-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta.
The case against. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. CA Ferrocarril Midland or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Ferrocarril Midland the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Ferrocarril Midland 1-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).