Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Indomilk Arena, Tangerang.
Form. Dewa United have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. Persijap Jepara have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Dewa United score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Dewa United average 10.6 shots (3.8 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Persijap Jepara score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Persijap Jepara average 7.4 shots (2.9 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The case against. Persijap Jepara's record still gives them 20% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The read. Dewa United to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Dewa United the likelier winners; Dewa United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Dewa United. Their goals for and against point to an open game.
The bets. Best bet: Persijap Jepara Under 1.5 Goals at 1.09, 77% on the records (Persijap Jepara scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away; Dewa United conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Dewa United are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Dewa United are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Dewa United 2-1 Persijap Jepara (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).