CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines
Match details. Primera Division, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia.
What's at stake. CS Herediano are 8th on 11 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Puntarenas FC, 1 point clear of Escorpiones Belén. CS Cartagines are 2nd on 24 points after 12 games, level on points with Deportivo Saprissa, level on points with Sporting San Jose. A win would take them above Deportivo Saprissa.
Form. CS Herediano have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W. In this competition CS Herediano have gone W D L L W L. CS Cartagines have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. In this competition CS Cartagines have gone W W L L W W.
The numbers. CS Herediano score 0.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. CS Herediano average 5.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game. CS Cartagines score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. CS Cartagines average 4.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CS Herediano have won five, drawn two and lost three. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CS Herediano won two, one was drawn and CS Cartagines won one. The last time they met, on 30 Aug 2026, it finished CS Herediano 0-1 CS Cartagines.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CS Herediano the likelier winners, but CS Cartagines are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CS Cartagines; the meetings favour CS Herediano. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. CS Herediano's record still gives them 43% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. CS Cartagines to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CS Herediano the likelier winners; CS Cartagines are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CS Cartagines; the meetings favour CS Herediano. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (CS Cartagines are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CS Herediano 0-1 CS Cartagines (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).