FFFAR

11:00Mon 19 Oct

PFK

Fardu Ferghana vs PFK Metallurg Bekabad

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Pro Liga. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.

Form. Fardu Ferghana have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. PFK Metallurg Bekabad have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W.

The numbers. Fardu Ferghana score 2.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Fardu Ferghana average 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game. PFK Metallurg Bekabad score 2.7 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. PFK Metallurg Bekabad average 4.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game.

The case against. Fardu Ferghana's record still gives them 39% to win.

The read. PFK Metallurg Bekabad to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make PFK Metallurg Bekabad the likelier winners; PFK Metallurg Bekabad are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PFK Metallurg Bekabad. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fardu Ferghana 1-2 PFK Metallurg Bekabad (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

PFK Metallurg Bekabad or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAR 5 of 6 (83%) · PFK 6 of 6 (100%)89.4%

PFK Metallurg Bekabad: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Fardu Ferghana: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85% · PFK Metallurg Bekabad: only games against sides at Fardu Ferghana's level · Fardu Ferghana: only games against sides at PFK Metallurg Bekabad's level

PFK Metallurg Bekabad or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAR 5 of 6 (83%) · PFK 5 of 6 (83%)78.9%

PFK Metallurg Bekabad: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Fardu Ferghana: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70% · PFK Metallurg Bekabad: only games against sides at Fardu Ferghana's level · Fardu Ferghana: only games against sides at PFK Metallurg Bekabad's level

PFK Metallurg Bekabad (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.58

FAR 5 of 6 (83%) · PFK 1 of 5 (20%)51.4%

PFK Metallurg Bekabad won 5 of 6 away (draws left out) · Fardu Ferghana lost 1 of 5 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 51% · PFK Metallurg Bekabad: only games against sides at Fardu Ferghana's level · Fardu Ferghana: only games against sides at PFK Metallurg Bekabad's level · won 6, refunded 1, lost 5

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAR 6 of 6 (100%) · PFK 6 of 6 (100%)98.3%

Fardu Ferghana: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · PFK Metallurg Bekabad: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · Fardu Ferghana: only games against sides at PFK Metallurg Bekabad's level · PFK Metallurg Bekabad: only games against sides at Fardu Ferghana's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

FAR 6 of 6 (100%) · PFK 5 of 6 (83%)86.1%

Fardu Ferghana: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · PFK Metallurg Bekabad: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · Fardu Ferghana: only games against sides at PFK Metallurg Bekabad's level · PFK Metallurg Bekabad: only games against sides at Fardu Ferghana's level

Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.61

FAR 5 of 6 (83%) · PFK 5 of 6 (83%)75.6%

Fardu Ferghana: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · PFK Metallurg Bekabad: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · Fardu Ferghana: only games against sides at PFK Metallurg Bekabad's level · PFK Metallurg Bekabad: only games against sides at Fardu Ferghana's level

PFK METALLURG BEKABAD GOALS

PFK Metallurg Bekabad Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAR 5 of 6 (83%) · PFK 6 of 6 (100%)89.4%

PFK Metallurg Bekabad scored in 5 of 6 away · Fardu Ferghana conceded in 6 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85% · PFK Metallurg Bekabad: only games against sides at Fardu Ferghana's level · Fardu Ferghana: only games against sides at PFK Metallurg Bekabad's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.9%

Fardu Ferghana goals →

PFK Metallurg Bekabad goals ↓

0-04%

1-04%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-15%

1-110%

2-17%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.5%

0-26%

1-29%

2-27%

3-24%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-34%

1-36%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.9%

5-30.3%

0-42%

1-43%

2-42%

3-41%

4-40.4%

5-40.1%

0-50.7%

1-51%

2-50.8%

3-50.4%

4-50.2%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FARDU FERGHANALDWWDWWDWW2.10 PPG

PFK METALLURG BEKABADDWWWWWWWDL2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FARDU FERGHANA HOMExPFK METALLURG BEKABAD AWAY

1.77SCORED A GAME2.271.45CONCEDED A GAME0.7770%BOTH SCORED40%20%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.50CORNERS A GAME4.172.25CARDS A GAME1.42

TRENDS

Fardu Ferghana have scored in 80% of their games.

PFK Metallurg Bekabad have scored in 90% of their games.

Fardu Ferghana kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

PFK Metallurg Bekabad kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards