Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Parque Artigas, Las Piedras. The referee is Andrés Matías Matonte Cabrera.
What's at stake. CA Juventud de Las Piedras are 7th on 17 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Cerro, 1 point clear of Progreso. A win would take them above Cerro. CA Penarol Montevideo are 4th on 20 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Atletico Torque, 2 points clear of Deportivo Maldonado. A win would take them above Atletico Torque.
Form. CA Juventud de Las Piedras have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. In this competition CA Juventud de Las Piedras have gone L W D D W D. CA Penarol Montevideo have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W. In this competition CA Penarol Montevideo have gone L D W D W W.
The numbers. CA Juventud de Las Piedras score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Juventud de Las Piedras average 7.7 shots (3.0 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. CA Penarol Montevideo score 1.3 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Penarol Montevideo average 13.3 shots (3.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 4.7 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CA Juventud de Las Piedras have won one, drawn four and lost five. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and CA Penarol Montevideo won two. The last time they met, on 20 Apr 2026, it finished CA Juventud de Las Piedras 2-2 CA Penarol Montevideo.
The case against. CA Juventud de Las Piedras's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. CA Penarol Montevideo to win. A tight game. CA Penarol Montevideo are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CA Penarol Montevideo. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, 76% on the records (CA Juventud de Las Piedras: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CA Penarol Montevideo: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Leave: CA Penarol Montevideo or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CA Penarol Montevideo Over 0.5 goals (CA Juventud de Las Piedras's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CA Juventud de Las Piedras Over 0.5 goals (CA Penarol Montevideo's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: CA Juventud de Las Piedras 0-1 CA Penarol Montevideo (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).