Club Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 35. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova.
What's at stake. Club Almirante Brown are 7th on 48 points after 34 games, 3 points behind Ciudad de Bolívar, level on points with CA Estudiantes. A win would take them level on points with Ciudad de Bolívar. Deportivo Moron are 3rd on 58 points after 34 games, 2 points behind Godoy Cruz, 4 points clear of Deportivo Madryn. A win would take them above Godoy Cruz.
Form. Club Almirante Brown have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. In this competition Club Almirante Brown have gone D D L L L D. Deportivo Moron have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Deportivo Moron have gone L L W L L W.
The numbers. Club Almirante Brown score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Club Almirante Brown average 3.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Deportivo Moron score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Deportivo Moron average 3.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Almirante Brown have won one, drawn six and lost three. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Club Almirante Brown won one, one was drawn and Deportivo Moron won two. The last time they met, on 7 Jun 2026, it finished Club Almirante Brown 0-1 Deportivo Moron.
The case against. Deportivo Moron's record still gives them 41% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Club Almirante Brown or the draw. A tight game. Deportivo Moron are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Deportivo Moron. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.10, 76% on the records (Club Almirante Brown: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Deportivo Moron: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Backup: Club Almirante Brown Over 0.5 Goals at 1.48. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Almirante Brown 1-1 Deportivo Moron (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).