Match details. Primera Nacional. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. Deportivo Madryn have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. CA San Telmo have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L.
The numbers. Deportivo Madryn score two and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. Deportivo Madryn average 3.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game. CA San Telmo score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA San Telmo average 3.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 71% against the records' 49%.
The read. No firm call: Deportivo Madryn are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Deportivo Madryn the likelier winners; Deportivo Madryn are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Deportivo Madryn. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Deportivo Madryn are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Deportivo Madryn are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Deportivo Madryn 1-0 CA San Telmo (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
DEP 4 of 6 (67%) · CAS 4 of 5 (80%)51.1%
Deportivo Madryn: not both scored in 4 of 6 at home · CA San Telmo: not both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Deportivo Madryn: only games against sides at CA San Telmo's level · CA San Telmo: only games against sides at Deportivo Madryn's level
DEPORTIVO MADRYN GOALS
Deportivo Madryn Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.14
DEP 5 of 6 (83%) · CAS 3 of 5 (60%)76%
Deportivo Madryn scored in 5 of 6 at home · CA San Telmo conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · Deportivo Madryn: only games against sides at CA San Telmo's level · CA San Telmo: only games against sides at Deportivo Madryn's level
CA SAN TELMO GOALS
CA San Telmo Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.09
DEP 3 of 5 (60%) · CAS 5 of 6 (83%)86.3%
CA San Telmo scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Deportivo Madryn conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70% · CA San Telmo: only games against sides at Deportivo Madryn's level · Deportivo Madryn: only games against sides at CA San Telmo's level
Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Deportivo Madryn are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (Deportivo Madryn are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Deportivo Madryn are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Deportivo Madryn are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–012.3%
Deportivo Madryn goals →
CA San Telmo goals ↓
0-08%
1-012%
2-011%
3-06%
4-03%
5-00.9%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-23%
1-25%
2-24%
3-22%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-30.9%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.3%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
DEPORTIVO MADRYNDLWDWLWLWW1.70 PPG
CA SAN TELMODLWWLWDLWD1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
DEPORTIVO MADRYN HOMExCA SAN TELMO AWAY
1.38SCORED A GAME0.820.88CONCEDED A GAME1.0930%BOTH SCORED30%60%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.15CORNERS A GAME3.881.74CARDS A GAME2.74
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
CA SAN TELMO 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.45POINTS A GAME1.83+0.45GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33-0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.51.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.611LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
41%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
DEPORTIVO MADRYN OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
CA SAN TELMO OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
DEPORTIVO MADRYNxCA SAN TELMO
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME0.602.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS20%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Deportivo Madryn have scored in 70% of their games.
CA San Telmo have scored in 50% of their games.
Deportivo Madryn kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
CA San Telmo kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards