Darmstadt vs FC St. Pauli
Match details. 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt.
What's at stake. Darmstadt are 17th on 7 points after 8 games, level on points with VfL Bochum, 2 points clear of Holstein Kiel. A win would take them above VfL Bochum. FC St. Pauli are 7th on 11 points after 8 games, 2 points behind 1. FC Magdeburg, level on points with Arminia Bielefeld. A win would take them above 1. FC Magdeburg.
Form. Darmstadt have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. FC St. Pauli have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D.
The numbers. Darmstadt score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Darmstadt average 10.3 shots (3.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. FC St. Pauli score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC St. Pauli average 10.4 shots (4.8 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Darmstadt have won five, drawn two and lost three. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Darmstadt won two, one was drawn and FC St. Pauli won one. The last time they met, on 6 May 2023, it finished Darmstadt 0-3 FC St. Pauli: Darmstadt had 17 shots to 11, 60% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Darmstadt's record still gives them 26% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. FC St. Pauli or the draw. An open game. FC St. Pauli are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 74% on the records (Darmstadt: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; FC St. Pauli: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC St. Pauli or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 2nd Half - FC St. Pauli Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Darmstadt 1-2 FC St. Pauli (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).