Match details. Super Lig, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at GAIN Park Stadium, Antalya.
What's at stake. Alanyaspor are 9th on 12 points after 8 games, level on points with Kocaelispor, 1 point clear of Başakşehir. A win would take them above Kocaelispor. Kocaelispor are 8th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Kasımpaşa, level on points with Alanyaspor. A win would take them above Kasımpaşa.
Team news. Alanyaspor are without Bikoue (inactive), P. Fernandes (injury), Bikoue (inactive), P. Fernandes (injury). Kocaelispor are without M. Haidara (muscle injury), A. Jovanovic (coach's decision), B. Petkovic (hamstring injury), T. Zoukrou (muscle injury), M. Haidara (muscle injury), A. Jovanovic (coach's decision).
Form. Alanyaspor have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D W. Kocaelispor have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.
The numbers. Alanyaspor score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alanyaspor average 9.8 shots (3.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Kocaelispor score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Kocaelispor average 8.9 shots (3.7 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Alanyaspor have won two, drawn none and lost one. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 18 Mar 2026, it finished Alanyaspor 5-0 Kocaelispor: Alanyaspor had 10 shots to 6, 40% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The case against. Kocaelispor's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Alanyaspor or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Alanyaspor are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Alanyaspor. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, 75% on the records (Alanyaspor: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Kocaelispor: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Alanyaspor or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Alanyaspor 1UP (no side to back); Alanyaspor to Win Either Half: Yes (no side to back). Predicted score: Alanyaspor 1-1 Kocaelispor (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).