FC Cincinnati vs DC United
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 23. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at TQL Stadium, Cincinnati. The referee is Tim Ford.
What's at stake. FC Cincinnati are 9th on 36 points after 29 games, level on points with New York Red Bulls, level on points with Toronto FC. A win would take them above New York Red Bulls. DC United are 13th on 33 points after 29 games, 1 point behind New York City FC, 3 points clear of Atlanta United FC. A win would take them above New York City FC.
Team news. FC Cincinnati are without J. Martinez (knee injury), J. Malatini (thigh injury), J. Martinez (knee injury), J. Malatini (thigh injury). FC Cincinnati's line-up is confirmed. DC United are without G. Segal (leg injury), K. Rowles (thigh injury), G. Segal (leg injury), K. Rowles (thigh injury). DC United's line-up is confirmed.
Form. FC Cincinnati have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. DC United have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L.
The numbers. FC Cincinnati score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Cincinnati average 18.1 shots (6.1 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. DC United score one and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. DC United average 14.2 shots (4.4 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 36% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Cincinnati have won four, drawn two and lost four. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FC Cincinnati won two, one was drawn and DC United won one. The last time they met, on 31 May 2025, it finished FC Cincinnati 1-2 DC United: FC Cincinnati had 9 shots to 11, 61% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. DC United's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. FC Cincinnati to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Cincinnati the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: FC Cincinnati 1UP at 1.29, 73% on the records (FC Cincinnati scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 4 of 5 at home). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12 (77%). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (FC Cincinnati are a clear winner, no Unders); DC United Under 1.5 goals (FC Cincinnati's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Cincinnati are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Cincinnati 2-1 DC United (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).