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Ajax vs Atalanta

CLASS A
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
86
TOTAL GOALS
Class A
Ajax crestAJAvAtalanta crestATA
Over 1.5 Goals
Ajax v Atalanta
International Clubs -… · 20:00
1.14odds
88%book
-2edge
2/2angles
THE READ

Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam. The referee is A. Nobre.

What's at stake. Ajax are 25th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with FK Crvena Zvezda, level on points with Borac Banja Luka. A win would take them above FK Crvena Zvezda. Atalanta are 5th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Trabzonspor, level on points with Mjallby AIF. A win would take them above Trabzonspor.

Form. Ajax have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. Atalanta have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.

The numbers. Ajax score 2.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Ajax average 17.4 shots (8.1 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 65% of the ball. Atalanta score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Atalanta average 12.4 shots (4.5 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Ajax have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 9 Dec 2020, it finished Ajax 0-1 Atalanta: Ajax had 12 shots to 8, 63% of the ball, five yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. A draw is live. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 77% on the records (Ajax: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Atalanta: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Ajax or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ajax or Both Teams Score (no result call); Ajax or Draw & Over 1.5 (no result call). Predicted score: Ajax 1-2 Atalanta (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.14
AJA 5 of 5 (100%) · ATA 7 of 10 (70%)85.6%
Ajax: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Atalanta: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
AJA 4 of 5 (80%) · ATA 6 of 10 (60%)56.2%
Ajax: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Atalanta: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
AJA 5 of 5 (100%) · ATA 6 of 10 (60%)53.4%
Ajax: both scored in 5 of 5 at home · Atalanta: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
AJAX GOALS
Ajax Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.16
AJA 5 of 5 (100%) · ATA 7 of 10 (70%)71.3%
Ajax scored in 5 of 5 at home · Atalanta conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
ATALANTA GOALS
Atalanta Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.24
AJA 8 of 10 (80%) · ATA 5 of 5 (100%)73.6%
Atalanta scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Ajax conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85%
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.16
AJA 4 of 5 (80%) · ATA 8 of 10 (80%)81.7%
Ajax: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Atalanta: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.32
AJA 5 of 5 (100%) · ATA 6 of 10 (60%)80%
Ajax: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Atalanta: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AJA 4 of 5 (80%) · ATA 6 of 10 (60%)71.7%
Ajax's games: over 6.5 corners in 4 of 5 at home · Atalanta's games: over 6.5 corners in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
Left off the list: Ajax or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ajax or Both Teams Score (no result call); Ajax or Draw & Over 1.5 (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Ajax or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Over/Under & GG/NG: Over 2.5 & Yes (the numbers (44%) and the records (70%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Ajax 1UP (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.8%
Ajax goals →
Atalanta goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
AJAXWWWLWWDDLW2.00 PPG
ATALANTADWWWLLLWWL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AJAX HOMExATALANTA AWAY
3.30SCORED A GAME1.401.70CONCEDED A GAME1.2010%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE33%6.40CORNERS A GAME3.901.80CARDS A GAME1.10
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.29+1.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.14+7.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.02.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES7
Ajax: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 85/90
AJAX OR DRAW
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
ATALANTA OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AJAXxATALANTA
5GAMES53.60SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME2.005.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%100%BOTH SCORE80%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.211.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
AJAX 0 · 0%DRAW 1ATALANTA 1 · 50%
2020-10-27Ajax 2 – 2 Atalanta
2020-12-09Ajax 0 – 1 Atalanta
TRENDS
Ajax have scored in 100% of their games.
Atalanta have scored in 80% of their games.
Ajax kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Atalanta kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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