Match details. National Womens Soccer League. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Orlando Pride have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. Gotham FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W.
The numbers. Orlando Pride score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Orlando Pride average 5.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Gotham FC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Gotham FC average 4.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. Orlando Pride's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Gotham FC to win. An open game. Gotham FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gotham FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. Best bet: Gotham FC (Draw No Bet) at 1.29, 72% on the records (Gotham FC won 5 of 7 (draws left out); Orlando Pride lost 4 of 5 at home (draws left out)). Backup: Orlando Pride Under 1.5 Goals at 1.39. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Gotham FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Gotham FC Over 0.5 Goals (Gotham FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Orlando Pride 1-2 Gotham FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).